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MLB Awards Week Predictions (NL)

In this post I will describe each award in the MLB. I will state who should win and who will win, because that often will be different. First I will go over Gold Glove, followed by Rookie of the Year followed by Cy Young followed by MVP.

CATCHER

FINALISTS – Tucker Barnhart (.999), Yadier Molina (.994), Buster Posey (.995)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Tucker Barnhart. In almost 1000 innings, Barny only made one error and only had 4 passed balls. Barnhart led the league in caught stealing with 32.

WHO WILL WIN – Yadier Molina. Of course he will…..

FIRST BASE

FINALISTS – Joey Votto (.997), Paul Goldschmit (.997), Anthony Rizzo (.998)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Anthony Rizzo. He only had 3 errors and was involved in 112 double plays. Enough said.

WHO WILL WIN – Anthony Rizzo. Fly the W.

SECOND BASE

FINALISTS – Dee Gordon (.982), DJ LeMahieu (.989), Ben Zobrist (.988/.1000)

WHO SHOULD WIN – DJ LeMahieu. He only made 8 errors in all 2017. This will be a close decision.

WHO WILL WIN – Ben Zobrist. Fly the W.

SHORTSTOP

FINALISTS – Brandon Crawford (.982), Freddy Galvis (.989), Corey Seager (.979)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Freddy Galvis. This might be obvious when you consider the fielding percentage. He had 7 point advantage over the second place Crawford.

WHO WILL WIN – Corey Seager. The NL pennant winner probably will have a bias in his favor.

THIRD BASE

FINALISTS – Nolan Arenado (.979), David Freese (.960), Anthony Rendon (.979)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Nolan Arenado. This is obvious. You don’t go one day without seeing his plays on sports center.

WHO WILL WIN – Nolan Arenado. EXACTLY.

LEFT FIELD

FINALISTS – Adam Duvall (.979), Gerardo Parra (.988), Marcell Ozuna (.985)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Gerardo Parra. The man only made 2 errors in 2017.

WHO WILL WIN – Gerardo Parra. Only team that made playoffs.

CENTER FIELD

FINALISTS – Billy Hamilton (.991), Ender Inciarte (.993), Michael Taylor (.985)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Billy Hamilton. Hamilton only made 3 errors and somehow turned 4 double plays.

WHO WILL WIN – Billy Hamilton. There isn’t much of a contest here.

RIGHT FIELD

FINALISTS – Jason Heyward (.992), Yasiel Puig (.996), Giancarlo Stanton (.988)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Yasiel Puig. He probably deserves this.

WHO WILL WIN – EITHER STANTON OR PUIG – There is always a bias for gold gloves when you consider offense.

PITCHER

FINALISTS – Zach Davies (1.000), R.A. Dickey (.967), Zack Greinke (1.000)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Zack Greinke made 0 errors and was involved in 5 double plays.

WHO WILL WIN – Zack Greinke. Duh……………

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

ITS CODY BELLINGER. NO CONTEST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CY YOUNG

FINALISTS – Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Clayton Kershaw

WHO SHOULD WIN – Max Scherzer.  Max Scherzer had an ERA of 2.51 with a record of 16-6. He was an overall solid pitcher this year.

WHO WILL WIN – Clayton Kershaw. Kersh pitched 4 less games but still had an ERA of 2.31 and boasted an 18-4 record. The southpaw is on the pennant winning Dodgers, so there is probably a bias.

MVP

FINALISTS – Joey Votto, Giancarlo Stanton, Paul Goldschmidt

WHO SHOULD WIN – JOSEPH DANIEL VOTTO. Joey led the MLB in OBP, Walks, OPS, IBB, and came close for batting average. Each finalist was nominated for a gold glove, so we can’t consider that. VOTTO DESERVES THIS!!! But he doesn’t have the flashy stuff like RBIs and Homers. So,

WHO WILL WIN – Giancarlo Stanton. So obvious…..

 

 

 

UPDATES

I will do an American Leauge version tomorrow before awards are announced. Say if you agree or disagree in the comments.

 

(All stats come from BaseballReferance.com)

 

 

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Featured

Upgrades the Reds can make in the 2017-2018 offseason

The Reds struggled greatly in 2017. Offense and pitching. The free agent class this year is set to be best ever.
INFIELD
Eric Sogard – The Reds’ all star short-stop Zack Cozart is now a free agent and probably will sign with another team. Sogard is one of younger shortstops in the class at 32. Although he only played 94 games, he had a solid slash line of .273/.393/.378. He is cheap, only getting paid 1.5 million. He can play everywhere, and Gennet and Peraza can share middle infield work.                                                                                                                              Alcides Escobar – The speedy gold glove shortstop played all games last year with a solid slash of .250/.272/.357 He is quite expensive, getting 6.5 million last year. So this shouldn’t be heavily considered.
OUTFIELD
Melky Cabrera – The 33 year old slashed .285/.324/.423. In 2017 he hit 17 homers and batted in 85 runs. With a hefty salary of 15 million in 2017, the Reds will have Cozart gone, which will shed 5.3 million.                                                                                                       Jarrod Dyson – The speedy 32 year old stole 28 bases in 2017. He batted .251 which is fine, which is made up with speed. He only hit 5 homers and got 30 RBIs. He got paid 2.8 million in 2017 which is nothing compared to Votto’s 22 million.                                               J.D. Martinez – J.D. BLEW UP in 2017, hitting 45 homers with 104 ribbies. He hit a .303 average and was worth every penny of his contract especially since he achieved everything in 119 games.

PITCHING

Yu Darvish – The 30 year old had a great year after being traded to the Dodgers in 2017. He came with a salary of 11 million in 2017. The Reds said they would spend, so they may be a little trigger happy.                                                                                                               Jason Vargas – The 35 year old had a career year in 2017, going 18-11 and had an ERA of 4.16, and a WHIP of 1.3. A very solid year. A veteran like him could even put the Reds in wildcard contention for 2018.                                                                                                              Jake Arrieta – The man won a Cy Young and was in the running for it in 2016, he regressed in 2017, so his value would go down. He might stay the same as his 2017 salary which was 15 million. The Reds might get a steal on this one.

CONCLUSION

The Reds said they would spend in the offseason, so they should. Pitching, however, should be their main focus. Good luck to you, Dick Williams.

 

 

 

(All stats come from BaseballReference.com)

 

 

Featured

2018 Cincinnati Reds- Ideal Rotation and Bullpen (with what we have)

The Cincinnati Reds’ primary concern is pitching. Last year, the Reds’ pitching had an ERA of 5.17, gave up 821 earned runs, and had 248 homers hit off them. Each worst in the national league. So the Reds gave up about 5 runs each game. Pretty bad. The Reds’ rotation was constantly changing, and it should next year. 2018 might be the last year of the rebuild, so young pitchers should try to prove themselves. Meaning many starting should have an innings limit for until they move to bullpen or Triple A.

                                   AN IDEAL OPENING DAY ROTATION

(The Ace) 1- Luis Castillo – (Inning Limit- None)  Luis Castillo made an unexpected jump from Double A to the majors, after being acquired in the Dan Straily trade, and he sure did prove himself in 2017. Although he had a misleading win/loss count, (3 and 7) Castillo posted a 3.12 ERA, with a WHIP of 1.075, and only walked 32 batters in 89.1 innings pitched. Castillo needs to become a more seasoned player in 2018. He will play an important role in 2019 or 2020 when it counts. Castillo has too much potential to be wasted.

(The Core) 2,3,4; 2- Anthony DeSclafani – (Inning Limit- 125) DeSclafani was injured the entire 2017 season and did not play any games in the majors, but in 2016 he posted solid numbers. He had a respectable 3.28 ERA, with a record of 9 and 5 in 123.1 innings before getting hurt. In 2018 he should attempt to lower his WHIP, which was 1.216 in 2016. The 27 year old should have a spot on the opening day rotation. He could either do bullpen work or be shut down. Disco might not even be healthy, we’ll just have to see.

3- Homer Bailey – (Inning Limit- None) Homer Bailey returned from an injury mid-2017, and was wildly inconsistent. In 91 innings pitched, he had an ERA of 6.43, and a WHIP of 1.7. But he is getting paid 21 million in 2018, so….

4- Brandon Finnegan – (Inning Limit- 75) Finnegan was injured early 2017, but later returned, but in that outing he injured himself again. He might not be able to pitch in true form after being hurt so many times at age 24. In 2016 he went 11 and 12. His ERA was 3.98, with a WHIP of 1.360. He was an acquisition in the Johnny Cueto trade, so the front office sees some value in him.

(The 5th Man) 5- Sal Romano- (Inning Limit- 50) In 2017 the 23 year old had an ERA of 4.45. He might have had more of a longer leash, if he had been more consistent in his last 3 starts, but he is still young so we’ll have to see.

BULLPEN

Michael Lorenzen-  The former starter had strange numbers in 2017. A record of 8-4 and ERA of 4.45, and a WHIP of 1.349. He has always been a solid two inning reliever, so I believe the Reds should keep the 25 year old.

Scott Feldman?- The 35 year old is currently a free agent, and while going 7-7 in 2017 with an ERA of 4,77. Feldman had a season ending knee surgery last year, so he probably isn’t fit for the starting role anymore. But with Bronson gone the Reds need a veteran pitcher, and they have that in Feldman./

Wandy Peralta- Not much to say here, but he was a solid set-up man in 2017, so why not keep him?

Rookie Davis- The 24 year old had a disappointing 2017, so the rook should try to sort it out in the bullpen.

Amir Garret- Another disappointing rookie, so same situation as Rookie Davis.

Robert Stephenson- The 25 year had an inconsistent year last year, with an ERA of almost 5. But until his inevitable move to the rotation.

Raisel Iglesias- Many think Iggy has trade value. He does, but he is something different than Chapman. Iglesias used to be a starter, so he has more endurance than most closers, the guy can do 2 inning saves 3 days a week. I see Iggy as a 85-90 inning guy every year. But he did post impressive numbers last year. He went 3-3 with an ERA of 2.49 and raked up 28 saves in 76 innings. So why trade him? I always say, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.”

MINOR LEAUGES

Tyler Mahle- The rook did great in 4 starts last year, but there isn’t much room for him in the opening day roster.

WHEN ROMANO PITCHES OUT

Move him to bullpen. Replace him with Tyler Mahle, and he should have no inning limit.

WHEN FINNY PITCHES OUT

Also move him to the ‘pen and replace him with Amir Garret, who should have a limit of 125 before moving back to the pen.

WHEN DISCO PITCHES OUT

Put Disco in the pen and have Stephenson go to rotation for the rest of the year.

WHEN AMIR GARRET PITCHES OUT

Either give M-LO a chance or just move Sally back to the rotation.

ADDITIONAL NOTES

Most of this probably won’t happen, but it’s what I think, so give me some feedback in the comments, and as always TheKidRed sharing his opinions.

 

 

 

(All stats come from BaseballReference.com))

 

 

MLB Awards Week Prediction (AL)

Yesterday I made a post about who should win and who will win the MLB awards. I did this for the National League, so today I will for the AL. By the time you read this, the gold gloves probably will have been announced, so you can see if I’m correct. I will back up who I think should win, but not who I think will win. Sometimes the person who deserves it doesn’t get it, so…………………. Also since I do not have as much time I will not go into as much detail.

GOLD GLOVES

CATCHER

FINALISTS – Yan Gomes (.991), Martin Maldonado (.998), Salvador Perez (.994)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Salvador Perez – Salvy caught 20 runners stealing, he only had 3 passed balls, and he only made 5 errors.

WHO WILL WIN – Salvador Perez.

FIRST BASE

FINALISTS – Mitch Moreland (.995), Carlos Santana (.996), Eric Hosmer (.997)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Eric Hosmer – Hosmer was involved in 124 double plays, and only made one error in 2017.

WHO WILL WIN – Eric Hosmer.

SECOND BASE

FINALISTS – Brian Dozier – (.993), Ian Kinsler (.983), Dustin Pedroia (.995)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Brian Dozier – He only made 5 errors and was involved in over 100 double plays.

WHO WILL WIN – Brian Dozier.

SHORTSTOP

FINALISTS – Elvis Andrus (.977), Al. Simmons (.980), Franky Lindor (.984)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Al. Simmons – He led MLB in defensive WAR.

WHO WILL WIN – Fransisco Lindor.

THIRD BASE

FINALISTS – Manny Machado (.967), Jose Ramirez (.972), Evan Longoria (.968)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Jose Ramirez – Did well in many positions.

WHO WILL WIN – ITS RAMIREZ.

PITCHER

FINALISTS – Chris Sale (1.000), Marcus Stroman (.979), Alex Cobb (.932).

WHO SHOULD WIN – Sale

WHO WILL WIN – Sale

LEFT FIELD

FINALISTS –  Brett Gardner (1.000), Alex Gordon (.993), Justin Upton (.976)

WHO SHOULD WIN – GARDNER (obvs)

WHO SHOULD WIN – GARDNER

CENTER FEILD

FINALISTS – Lorenzo Cain (.984), Kevin Pillar (.997), Byron Buxton (.988)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Pillar

WHO WILL WIN – Pillar

RIGHT FIELD

FINALISTS –  Kole Calhoun (.988), Mookie Betts (.987), Aaron Judge (.982)

WHO SHOULD WIN – Mookie Betts – That is easy…

WHO WILL WIN – Mookie Betts

CY YOUNG

FINALISTS – Corey Kluber, Chris Sale, Luis Severino

WHO SHOULD WIN – Kluber

WHO WILL WIN – Kluber

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

FINALISTS – Aaron Judge, Trey Macini, Andrew Benintendi

WHO SHOULD WIN – Benintendi

WHO WILL WIN – Judge

MVP

FINALISTS – Aaron Judge, Jose Altuve, Jose Ramirez

WHO SHOULD WIN – Altuve

WHO WILL WIN – IN A CLOSE DESISION JUDGE WINS

 

 

(ALL STATS COME FROM BASEBALLREFERENCE.COM)

 

 

 

 

 

Upgrades the Reds can make in the 2017-2018 offseason

The Reds are currently struggled greatly in 2017. Offense and pitching. The free agent class this year is set to be best ever.
INFIELD
Eric Sogard – The Reds’ all star short-stop Zack Cozart is now a free agent and probably will sign with another team. Sogard is one of younger shortstops in the class at 32. Although he only played 94 games, he had a solid slash line of .273/.393/.378. He is cheap, only getting paid 1.5 million. He can play everywhere, and Gennet and Peraza can share middle infield work.                                                                                                                              Alcides Escobar – The speedy gold glove shortstop played all games last year with a solid slash of .250/.272/.357 He is quite expensive, getting 6.5 million last year. So this shouldn’t be heavily considered.
OUTFIELD
Melky Cabrera – The 33 year old slashed .285/.324/.423. In 2017 he hit 17 homers and batted in 85 runs. With a hefty salary of 15 million in 2017, the Reds will have Cozart gone, which will shed 5.3 million.                                                                                                       Jarrod Dyson – The speedy 32 year old stole 28 bases in 2017. He batted .251 which is fine, which is made up with speed. He only hit 5 homers and got 30 RBIs. He got paid 2.8 million in 2017 which is nothing compared to Votto’s 22 million.                                               J.D. Martinez – J.D. BLEW UP in 2017, hitting 45 homers with 104 ribbies. He hit a .303 average and was worth every penny of his contract especially since he achieved everything in 119 games.

PITCHING

Yu Darvish – The 30 year old had a great year after being traded to the Dodgers in 2017. He came with a salary of 11 million in 2017. The Reds said they would spend, so they may be a little trigger happy.                                                                                                               Jason Vargas – The 35 year old had a career year in 2017, going 18-11 and had an ERA of 4.16, and a WHIP of 1.3. A very solid year. A veteran like him could even put the Reds in wildcard contention for 2018.                                                                                                              Jake Arrieta – The man won a Cy Young and was in the running for it in 2016, he regressed in 2017, so his value would go down. He might stay the same as his 2017 salary which was 15 million. The Reds might get a steal on this one.

CONCLUSION

The Reds said they would spend in the offseason, so they should. Pitching, however, should be their main focus. Good luck to you, Dick Williams.

 

 

 

(All stats come from BaseballReference.com)

 

 

Who should be starting right fielder for the Cincinnati Reds in 2018?

One question many Reds fans had before the 2017 season was, “Who will  be the starting right fielder?”.

After the Reds traded Jay Bruce mid-2016, Scott Schebler primarily had the job, but as Reds’ prospect Jesse Winker progressed through the minors many believed he was destined to take Schebler’s place.  Then, Scott Schebler was injured late into the 2017 season and Winker played most of that time.

With 531 plate appearances in 2017, Schebler hit 30 homers with 67 RBIs. On the other hand, Schebler only hit a .233 batting average and struck out 125 times. Winker hit 7 homers and got 15 RBIs, but he also had a batting average of .298 and only struck out 24 times over 137 plate appearances.

If you wanted a power hitter with a low average you would obviously go with Scott Schebler. But, if you wanted a younger, higher average hitter, you would go with Winker. Scott Schebler is currently 27 and has had three years in the majors, so he is some-what experienced. Winker is only 24 and only made his debut in 2017, so his performance may have been a fluke. Schebler might have struck out a lot, but I do think Schebler gets the slight edge for batting.

One thing we haven’t looked at is defensive stats. In 133 defensive games, Schebler had a great year for fielding, and might be a dark horse gold glove candidate. He posted a .979 fielding percentage with only 5 errors. Schebler also made 2 double plays. In 27 defensive games Winker only made one error and had a .977 fielding percentage. That is a small sample size, so Schebler should get the point on that one.

Therefore, Scott Schebler should start at right field for the Reds in 2018. But, if Schebler struggles greatly, Winker might get the job. Other chances might arise for Winker though, like if Duvall would be traded or benched, heck, Billy Hamilton might not even stay. We’ll just have to see, but in my opinion Scott Schebler should get the job. Until next time, this is TheKidRed sharing his opinions.

(All stats come from BaseballReference.com)